A generalized stochastic model for simulation of epidemics in a heterogeneous population (Model VI)

Wayne Ewy; Eugene Ackerman; Laël C. Gatewood; Lila Elveback; John P. Fox

doi:10.1016/0010-4825(72)90007-8

A generalized stochastic model for simulation of epidemics in a heterogeneous population (Model VI)

Wayne Ewy, Eugene Ackerman, Laël C. Gatewood, Lila Elveback, John P. Fox

Laboratory Medicine and Pathology

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

8 Scopus citations

Abstract

A new, more general, stochastic model of epidemics is described. This model, one in a continuing series by Elveback and co-workers, includes provision for more complex, pseudo-sociologically stratified populations. Other major new features include the use of several types of conditional probabilities and of time-varying patterns of infectiousness to enable a more detailed simulation of individual and time-related differences in reactions to the infectious agent. A specific computer implementation of one and two-agent versions of this model is illustrated. Plans for additional computer-based simulation studies are discussed, for this and related models.

Original language	English (US)
Pages (from-to)	45-58
Number of pages	14
Journal	Computers in Biology and Medicine
Volume	2
Issue number	1
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/0010-4825(72)90007-8
State	Published - Feb 1972

Bibliographical note

Funding Information:
*This report supported in part by: (I) Grant GM-16164 from the National Institute of General Medical Sciences, N.I.H. (2) Grant RR-267 from the Division of Research Resources, N.I.H. (3) Grant HS-53 from the National Center for Health Services Research and Development, H.S.M.H.A. This model formed the basis for a thesis submitted by Wayne Ewy to the Graduate School of the University of Minnesota in partial fulfillment of the degree of Doctor of Philosophy. tPresent address: Stanford University, Stanford, California. 45

Access

10.1016/0010-4825(72)90007-8

OpenUrl availability

Full text

Cite this

@article{bb7366d99bf84c869bc8483da4a9c87e,

title = "A generalized stochastic model for simulation of epidemics in a heterogeneous population (Model VI)",

abstract = "A new, more general, stochastic model of epidemics is described. This model, one in a continuing series by Elveback and co-workers, includes provision for more complex, pseudo-sociologically stratified populations. Other major new features include the use of several types of conditional probabilities and of time-varying patterns of infectiousness to enable a more detailed simulation of individual and time-related differences in reactions to the infectious agent. A specific computer implementation of one and two-agent versions of this model is illustrated. Plans for additional computer-based simulation studies are discussed, for this and related models.",

author = "Wayne Ewy and Eugene Ackerman and Gatewood, {La{\"e}l C.} and Lila Elveback and Fox, {John P.}",

note = "Funding Information: *This report supported in part by: (I) Grant GM-16164 from the National Institute of General Medical Sciences, N.I.H. (2) Grant RR-267 from the Division of Research Resources, N.I.H. (3) Grant HS-53 from the National Center for Health Services Research and Development, H.S.M.H.A. This model formed the basis for a thesis submitted by Wayne Ewy to the Graduate School of the University of Minnesota in partial fulfillment of the degree of Doctor of Philosophy. tPresent address: Stanford University, Stanford, California. 45",

year = "1972",

month = feb,

doi = "10.1016/0010-4825(72)90007-8",

language = "English (US)",

volume = "2",

pages = "45--58",

journal = "Computers in Biology and Medicine",

issn = "0010-4825",

publisher = "Elsevier Limited",

number = "1",

}

TY - JOUR

T1 - A generalized stochastic model for simulation of epidemics in a heterogeneous population (Model VI)

AU - Ewy, Wayne

AU - Ackerman, Eugene

AU - Gatewood, Laël C.

AU - Elveback, Lila

AU - Fox, John P.

N1 - Funding Information: *This report supported in part by: (I) Grant GM-16164 from the National Institute of General Medical Sciences, N.I.H. (2) Grant RR-267 from the Division of Research Resources, N.I.H. (3) Grant HS-53 from the National Center for Health Services Research and Development, H.S.M.H.A. This model formed the basis for a thesis submitted by Wayne Ewy to the Graduate School of the University of Minnesota in partial fulfillment of the degree of Doctor of Philosophy. tPresent address: Stanford University, Stanford, California. 45

PY - 1972/2

Y1 - 1972/2

N2 - A new, more general, stochastic model of epidemics is described. This model, one in a continuing series by Elveback and co-workers, includes provision for more complex, pseudo-sociologically stratified populations. Other major new features include the use of several types of conditional probabilities and of time-varying patterns of infectiousness to enable a more detailed simulation of individual and time-related differences in reactions to the infectious agent. A specific computer implementation of one and two-agent versions of this model is illustrated. Plans for additional computer-based simulation studies are discussed, for this and related models.

AB - A new, more general, stochastic model of epidemics is described. This model, one in a continuing series by Elveback and co-workers, includes provision for more complex, pseudo-sociologically stratified populations. Other major new features include the use of several types of conditional probabilities and of time-varying patterns of infectiousness to enable a more detailed simulation of individual and time-related differences in reactions to the infectious agent. A specific computer implementation of one and two-agent versions of this model is illustrated. Plans for additional computer-based simulation studies are discussed, for this and related models.

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=0015296923&partnerID=8YFLogxK

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=0015296923&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1016/0010-4825(72)90007-8

DO - 10.1016/0010-4825(72)90007-8

M3 - Article

C2 - 5028174

AN - SCOPUS:0015296923

SN - 0010-4825

VL - 2

SP - 45

EP - 58

JO - Computers in Biology and Medicine

JF - Computers in Biology and Medicine

IS - 1

ER -

A generalized stochastic model for simulation of epidemics in a heterogeneous population (Model VI)

Abstract

Bibliographical note

Access

OpenUrl availability

Other files and links

Fingerprint

Cite this