A nursing home in your future?

Robert L Kane, Rosalie A Kane

Research output: Contribution to journalEditorialpeer-review

13 Scopus citations


The article by Kemper and Murtaugh1 in this issue of the Journal employs a familiar algorithm to suggest the dire consequences of the aging of a society. Generally, the age- and sex-specific rates of elderly people today are multiplied by projections of their numbers in the future. Such a model predicts hordes of disabled older persons needing nursing homes. Indeed, using similar logic, many people have warned of an impending shortage of nursing home beds and have suggested that we start building now. This approach to forecasting evokes two responses. The first is to challenge the statistics, but if anything,.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)627-629
Number of pages3
JournalNew England Journal of Medicine
Issue number9
StatePublished - Feb 28 1991


Dive into the research topics of 'A nursing home in your future?'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this