Asset price bubbles in Arrow-Debreu and sequential equilibrium

Kevin X.D. Huang, Jan Werner

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

31 Scopus citations

Abstract

Price bubbles in an Arrow-Debreu equilibrium in an infinite-time economy are a manifestation of lack of countable additivity of valuation of assets. In contrast, the known examples of price bubbles in a sequential equilibrium in infinite time cannot be attributed to the lack of countable additivity of valuation. In this paper we develop a theory of valuation of assets in sequential markets (with no uncertainty) and study the nature of price bubbles in light of this theory. We define a payoff pricing operator that maps a sequence of payoffs to the minimum cost of an asset holding strategy that generates it. We show that the payoff pricing functional is linear and countably additive on the set of positive payoffs if and only if there is no Ponzi scheme, provided that there is no restriction on long positions in the assets. In the known examples of equilibrium price bubbles in sequential markets valuation is linear and countably additive. The presence of a price bubble means that the dividends of an asset can be purchased in sequential markets at a cost lower than the asset's price. We present further examples of equilibrium price bubbles in which valuation is nonlinear, or linear but not countably additive.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)253-278
Number of pages26
JournalEconomic Theory
Volume15
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 1 2000

Keywords

  • Arbitrage
  • Arrow-Debreu equilibrium
  • Asset price bubble
  • Sequential equilibrium
  • Valuation

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