Abstract
Estimating high quantiles plays an important role in the context of risk management. This involves extrapolation of an unknown distribution function. In this paper we propose three methods, namely, the normal approximation method, the likelihood ratio method and the data tilting method, to construct confidence regions for high quantiles of a heavy tailed distribution. A simulation study prefers the data tilting method.
Original language | English (US) |
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Pages (from-to) | 1964-1986 |
Number of pages | 23 |
Journal | Annals of Statistics |
Volume | 34 |
Issue number | 4 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - Aug 2006 |
Keywords
- Confidence region
- Data tilting
- Empirical likelihood method
- Heavy tail
- High quantile