TY - JOUR
T1 - Estimated GFR and Mortality in Older Men
T2 - Are All eGFR Formulae Equal?
AU - Canales, Muna T.
AU - Blackwell, Terri
AU - Ishani, Areef
AU - Taylor, Brent C.
AU - Hart, Allyson
AU - Barrett-Connor, Elizabeth
AU - Lewis, Cora
AU - Beyth, Rebecca J.
AU - Stone, Katie
AU - Ensrud, Kristine E.
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2016 S. Karger AG, Basel.
PY - 2016/6/8
Y1 - 2016/6/8
N2 - Recently, the first estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) formula specifically developed for community-dwelling older adults, the Berlin Initiative Study Equation 2 (BIS2), was reported. To date, however, no study has examined the performance of the BIS2 to predict death in older adults as compared to equations used clinically and in research. Methods: We prospectively followed 2,994 community-dwelling men (age 76.4 ± 5.6) enrolled in the MrOS Sleep Study. We calculated baseline eGFR from serum creatinine and cystatin-C using the BIS2, Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology (CKD-EPIcr,cysc), CKD-EPIcysc and CKD-EPIcr equations. Analyses included Cox-proportional hazards regression and net reclassification improvement (NRI) for the outcomes of all-cause and cardiovascular death. Results: Follow-up time was 7.3 ± 1.9 years. By BIS2, 42 and 11% had eGFR <60 and <45, respectively, compared to CKD-EPIcr (23 and 6%), CKD-EPIcysc (36 and 13%) and CKD-EPIcr,cysc (28 and 8%). BIS2 eGFR <45 was associated with twofold higher rate of all-cause mortality when compared to eGFR ≥ 75 after multivariate adjustment (HR 2.1, 95% CI 1.5-2.8). Results were similar for CKD-EPIcr,cysc <45 (HR 2.1, 95% CI 1.6-2.7) and CKD-EPIcysc <45 (HR 2.1, 95% CI 1.7-2.7) and weaker for CKD-EPIcr <45 (HR 1.5, 95% CI 1.2-2.0). In NRI analyses, when compared to CKD-EPIcr,cysc, both BIS2 and CKD-EPIcr equations more often misclassified participants with respect to mortality. We found similar results for cardiovascular death. Conclusion: The BIS2 did not outperform and the CKD-EPIcr was inferior to the cystatin C-based CKD-EPI equations to predict death in this cohort of older men. Thus, the cystatin C-based CKD-EPI equations are the formulae of choice to predict death in community-dwelling older men.
AB - Recently, the first estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) formula specifically developed for community-dwelling older adults, the Berlin Initiative Study Equation 2 (BIS2), was reported. To date, however, no study has examined the performance of the BIS2 to predict death in older adults as compared to equations used clinically and in research. Methods: We prospectively followed 2,994 community-dwelling men (age 76.4 ± 5.6) enrolled in the MrOS Sleep Study. We calculated baseline eGFR from serum creatinine and cystatin-C using the BIS2, Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology (CKD-EPIcr,cysc), CKD-EPIcysc and CKD-EPIcr equations. Analyses included Cox-proportional hazards regression and net reclassification improvement (NRI) for the outcomes of all-cause and cardiovascular death. Results: Follow-up time was 7.3 ± 1.9 years. By BIS2, 42 and 11% had eGFR <60 and <45, respectively, compared to CKD-EPIcr (23 and 6%), CKD-EPIcysc (36 and 13%) and CKD-EPIcr,cysc (28 and 8%). BIS2 eGFR <45 was associated with twofold higher rate of all-cause mortality when compared to eGFR ≥ 75 after multivariate adjustment (HR 2.1, 95% CI 1.5-2.8). Results were similar for CKD-EPIcr,cysc <45 (HR 2.1, 95% CI 1.6-2.7) and CKD-EPIcysc <45 (HR 2.1, 95% CI 1.7-2.7) and weaker for CKD-EPIcr <45 (HR 1.5, 95% CI 1.2-2.0). In NRI analyses, when compared to CKD-EPIcr,cysc, both BIS2 and CKD-EPIcr equations more often misclassified participants with respect to mortality. We found similar results for cardiovascular death. Conclusion: The BIS2 did not outperform and the CKD-EPIcr was inferior to the cystatin C-based CKD-EPI equations to predict death in this cohort of older men. Thus, the cystatin C-based CKD-EPI equations are the formulae of choice to predict death in community-dwelling older men.
KW - Chronic kidney disease
KW - Estimation of renal function
KW - Geriatric nephrology
KW - Glomerular filtration rate
KW - Mortality
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UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=84966909193&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1159/000445757
DO - 10.1159/000445757
M3 - Article
C2 - 27166079
AN - SCOPUS:84966909193
SN - 0250-8095
VL - 43
SP - 325
EP - 333
JO - American Journal of Nephrology
JF - American Journal of Nephrology
IS - 5
ER -