Some evidence concerning macroeconomic chaos

Murray Z. Frank, Thanasis Stengos

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Abstract

An empirical assessment of a linear-stochastic perspective for Canadian macroeconomic time series is presented. The methods used are based on the mathematics of 'chaos'. Present evidence suggests that low-order deterministic chaos does not provide a satisfactory characterization of the data. The absence of significant nonlinear structure for the investment and unemployment series is of particular note in light of past findings with American data. The degree to which the use of a time trend can impose a pseudo-structure on the data is illustrated.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)423-438
Number of pages16
JournalJournal of Monetary Economics
Volume22
Issue number3
DOIs
StatePublished - 1988

Bibliographical note

Funding Information:
*This research was partly supported by a grant from the Research Excellence Program of University of Guelph. We would like to thank William Brock, Roger Farmer, Chera Sayers, Jose Scheinkman for helpful discussions ab chaos. ne suggestions of an anonymous referee were quite useful. Our i~tellectu~ debt to acknowledged. Any deficiencies remain our responsibility.

Copyright:
Copyright 2014 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.

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